Champions League 2021 UEFA odds picks Proven soccer model
How to watch UEFA Champions League semifinals: Live stream … Tue, 27 Apr 2021 11:00:00 -0700-SportsLine's European soccer model reveals its best bets for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid on Tuesday.
Real Madrid has won a record 13 Champions League titles, but it faces a formidable foe on Tuesday when it hosts Chelsea in the first leg of the 2021 UEFA Champions League semifinals at Estadio Alfredo Di Stefano. Real Madrid is battling with Atletico Madrid and Barcelona in the Spanish Primera Division and is two points behind its cross-town rivals after a 0-0 draw with Real Betis on Saturday. Chelsea moved into fourth in the English Premier League with a 1-0 win against West Ham. Chelsea's hallmark has been stout defense, and Real's Karim Benzema and former Chelsea man Eden Hazard will try to break through on Tuesday.
Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Real Madrid is a 0.5-goal and +140 money-line favorite in the latest Chelsea vs. Real Madrid odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you lock in your Real Madrid vs. Chelsea picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model.
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Created by two Norwegians — professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim — the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up over $8,200.
Now, the model has set its sights on Real Madrid vs. Chelsea. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several odds and trends for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid:
- Real Madrid vs. Chelsea spread: Madrid -0.5
- Real Madrid vs. Chelsea over-under: 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid vs. Chelsea money line: Chelsea +225, Madrid +140, Draw +205
- RMA: Toni Kroos leads La Liga in passes into the final third (253) and is second in key passes (63)
- CHE: Mason Mount ranks second in the Premier League in shot-creating actions (143)
Why you should back Real Madrid
Los Blancos are known for their exciting play, but in recent weeks the defense has been front and center. They have not allowed a goal in the past four games and are unbeaten in their last 17. Real Madrid has the firepower with the likes of Benzema and Hazard up front, and midfielders Toni Kroos, Casemiro and Luka Modric are top-notch distributors. Benzema trails only Lionel Messi in goals in La Liga with 21, and he has five in eight Champions League matches. Casemiro has six goals and four assists overall, while Kroos and Modric have a combined 16 assists.
Los Blancos are plus-32 in goal differential in league games, allowing just 24 in the 33 contests and have allowed 11 in 10 matches in this event. Raphael Varane and Eder Militao have been a strong nucleus on the back line. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has 15 clean sheets in 33 La Liga games and leads the league in save percentage at 81.6.
Why you should back Chelsea
The Blues have been in top form since Thomas Tuchel took over as manager in late January and have not lost in their past 10 games on the road. They have 16 clean sheets in 20 games in all competitions since Tuchel arrived, and they have allowed just three goals in 10 matches in this year's Champions League. Goalkeeper Edouard Mendy has 15 clean sheets in 33 league games and seven in the UCL, and Cesar Azpilicueta and Thiago Silva are elite defenders in front of him. Ben Chilwell (five assists in league play) plays a critical role at both ends.
Real Madrid has four straight clean sheets but failed to score in three of them. Chelsea will try to hold possession and fend off counter-attacks, and it has plenty of scoring options. Tuchel is seeking the right mix, but Timo Werner (six goals, six assists in EPL play) is a major threat and Mason Mount (six goals, four assists) is always in the middle of the action. Jorginho and Tammy Abraham both have six goals, while Olivier Giroud and Christian Pulisic have four.
How to make picks for Real Madrid vs. Chelsea
The model is leaning under on the goal total, and it also has locked in a strong money-line pick for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Real Madrid vs. Chelsea? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Chelsea vs. Real Madrid money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that's up over $8,200.
2021 UEFA Champions League odds, picks: Proven soccer model … Tue, 27 Apr 2021 11:00:00 -0700-The road to the UEFA Champions League final continues with the semifinals, with Chelsea-Real Madrid and PSG-Manchester City.
The road to the UEFA Champions League final continues with the semifinals, kicking off with games Tuesday and Wednesday.
It was a wild ride between the conclusion of the quarterfinals and this week's semifinal Leg 1 games. The European Super League came and went in a matter of a couple days last week, as 12 clubs signed up for a breakaway league, only to have the majority of those clubs back out after massive backlash over the controversial project.
Now, it's back to normal soccer activities in continental Europe as the Champions League resumes with Real Madrid hosting Chelsea on Tuesday and Paris Saint-Germain hosting Manchester City on Wednesday. Neither Man City nor PSG has ever won the Champions League, whereas Chelsea has one title to its name and Real Madrid has a record 13 titles.
The second legs of the Champions League semifinals will take place on May 4-5. The Champions League final will be held at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium in Istanbul, Turkey, on Saturday, May 29 (3 p.m. ET, CBS and Paramount+).
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:Clash of former champs and big-spending hopefuls in semifinals
'THE CLUBS CAN'T LEAVE':Real Madrid president says Super League clubs bound by contract
PREPARED FOR BATTLE:How UEFA president Ceferin crushed a Super League rebellion
What are the Champions League semifinal matchups?
- Manchester City (England) vs. Paris Saint-Germain (France)
- Real Madrid (Spain) vs. Chelsea (England)
Who are Champions League semifinal favorites?
According to BetMGM, here are the odds for the semifinal matchups:
- Real Madrid (-140) vs. Chelsea (+100)
- Paris Saint-Germain (+135) vs. Manchester City (-190)
What are the odds for the Championship League winner?
According to BetMGM, Manchester City remain favorites to win this year's competition.
- Manchester City (+145)
- Paris Saint-Germain (+275)
- Real Madrid (+350)
- Chelsea (+450)
What is the Champions League semifinals schedule?
English-language live streams available on either CBS All-Access or Paramount+. Spanish-language broadcasts available on TUDN.
Tuesday, April 27
- Real Madrid vs. Chelsea, 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network and Paramount+)
Wednesday, April 28
- Paris Saint-Germain vs. Manchester City, 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network and Paramount+)
Tuesday, May 4
- Manchester City vs. Paris Saint-Germain, 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network and Paramount+)
Wednesday, May 5
- Chelsea vs. Real Madrid, 3 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network and Paramount+)
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– April 27, 2021
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