Leicester City vs West Brom Leicester City vs West Brom Bromwich Albion Odds, vs. … Leicester City Predictions & Picks West
Thu, 22 Apr 2021 20:00:00 +0100
Anthony Dabbundo gives his detailed thoughts, plus his top pick, for Thursday's Premier League match between Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion
Catherine Ivill/Getty Images. Pictured: Callum Robinson and Ainsley Maitland-Niles.
West Brom is all but certainly going to be relegated from the Premier League after its first season back in the top division, but that hasn’t stopped them from dramatically improving since the hiring of manager Sam Allardyce.
At the other end of the table, Leicester City has fallen off a bit in recent weeks and is now fighting for a spot in the top four and a place in next year’s Champions League. That turns this match into a must-win for the Foxes. They’ve lost their last two league matches and seen their top-four odds fall to 68%, per FiveThirtyEight.
WBA enters this match nine points from safety with just seven matches to play, a nearly insurmountable deficit to try to make up. But their improved performances of late create value on them in this matchup.
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It’s been really difficult to gauge how good Leicester City is this season because injuries and penalties have skewed their season-long numbers significantly. Early in the year, the Foxes benefitted from an unusual and unsustainable number of penalties that masked over very mediocre underlying numbers. They survived an extensive period of injuries, too, and it appeared their performances were improving once those players came back.
But they really haven’t improved and haven’t gotten much production out of their attacking players. The emergence of Kelechi Iheanacho has saved their attacking output, but James Maddison and Jamie Vardy have underperformed in the second half of the season. Harvey Barnes is out for the year.
Leicester are eighth in the league in non-penalty xG difference since Dec. 23. In their last 10 games, they rank seventh in NPxGD. Simply put, this Leicester team has been efficient at getting results from lackluster performances all year and it’s why they rank third in the league despite these underlying numbers.
In terms of shots, LCFC is the ninth-best attack and fifth-best defense, and their numbers are average in both ends in terms of quality of shot allowed. There’s nothing all that impressive about this Foxes team right now, and the number is showing too much disrespect to West Brom.
Since Big Sam was hired in late December, West Brom hasn’t been the worst team in the league. They haven’t even been in relegation form. The Baggies struggled when he was first hired but they are much better than the “one of the worst teams in league history” pace they had set in the first half of the year.
WBA is the 17th-best team in non-penalty expected goal difference in their last 17 matches, which is about -0.55 xGD per 90. In the opening 14 matches, West Brom was -1.32 xGD per 90, by far worst in the league. Allardyce has mostly improved the defense, but the attack has improved too. They showed their ability to play direct, effective attacking football in their stunning upset of Chelsea.
The emergence of Mbaye Diagne as a striker and Matheus Pereira as a creative midfielder has unlocked this West Brom attack and enabled them to get a few high quality chances per game. Diagne and Pereira are combining for 0.57 and 0.42 xG + xA per 90 this year, which is solid attacking numbers for an otherwise bad team.
This line isn’t showing enough respect to a recently improved West Brom side that has now beaten Brighton, Chelsea and Southampton in recent weeks. WBA also played even with Everton and Newcastle. While I’d normally look to sell high on a run of good form, Allardyce has a proven track record of improving teams and it appears he has done so again.
Playing against an overrated Leicester side here has the Foxes ripe for a potential upset. I’ll take the goal and sprinkle half of a unit on the money line as well.
Pick: West Brom +1 (-120 or better) and West Brom money line (+460 or better)
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Leicester City vs West Brom
Thu, 22 Apr 2021 20:00:00 +0100
Although both Leicester City and West Brom are sitting on completely opposite sides of the Premier League, the three points couldn't be any more important for
LEI Vs WBA Fantasy Team Leicester City Vs West Brom Premier League 2020-21 Fantasy Team Picks, Probable Playing 11 And Match Report: Two sides in dire need of a win lock heads in the league come today.
Although both Leicester City and West Brom are sitting on completely opposite sides of the Premier League, the three points couldn’t be any more important for either club.
Where Leicester City are looking to nail down their spot in the top 4 of the league, West Brom on the other hand are looking to keep their aspirations of survival alive. Given the ramifications at stake, this tie makes for an intoxicating brew.
West Brom’s resurgence will see them put on a resolute face but unfortunately we don’t see them curbing the hosts for a win.
Probable Playing 11
Schmeichel, Fofana, Evans, Soyuncu, Albrighton, Ndidi, Tielemans, Castagne, Maddison, Vardy, Iheanacho
Johnstone, Furlong, O’Shea, Bartley, Townsend, Phillips, Yokuslu, Maitland-Niles, Robinson, Pereira, Diagne
Premier League 2020-21
Match: Leicester City Vs West Brom
Date And Time: 23rd April, Friday- 12:30am IST
Venue: King Power, Leicester
Television: Star Sports Select 1/HD, Disney+ Hotstar
Top Goal Scorer
Our team will begin with Sam Johnstone after his heroics off late.
Although West Brom have managed to forage goals off late, the club continues to remain a dreary attacking unit. It sees us opt for the trivalent of Caglar Soyuncu, Wesley Fofana and Timothy Castagne.
Youri Tielemans’ versatility has seen him turn into a real asset for his team this season.
He finds company in Wilfred Ndidi who slots in owing to his ability to quell attacking plays. West Brom’s first pick meanwhile comes in the form of Matheus Pereira who has the 8 goals and 5 assists for his team.
Mattt Phillips and Okay Yokuslu and their ability to win challenges see the two also feature for us.
Kelechi Iheanacho is a man in hot form at the moment to see him strike in next to his side’s scorer with the 12 goals, Jamie Vardy.
Captain And Vice-Captain
Kelechi’s FA Cup goal makes him our captain while Jamie is the vice-captain.
San, Caglar, Wesley. Timothy, Youri, Matheus, Wilfred, Youri, Matt, Okay, Kelechi, Jamie
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Fantasy Team Disclaimer
All our selections are based on in-depth and astute analysis of the players partaking in the match and a perusal of other reasoning. Please incorporate a slew of factors while crafting your own side with this article serving as a guide to the match and players.
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– April 22, 2021
Leicester City vs West Brom Leicester City vs West Bromwich Albion Odds Picks amp; Predictions
Leicester City, West Brom